Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Billericay Town had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Billericay Town win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.