Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.