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National League South | Gameweek 6
Jan 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
4 - 0
Chippenham

Turner (8'), Da Costa (39'), Wood (53'), Rush (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gunner (27')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Chippenham Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawChippenham Town
41.53%25.35%33.11%
Both teams to score 55.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18%47.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99%70%
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1%22.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.35%56.65%
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45%27.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94%63.06%
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 41.53%
    Chippenham Town 33.11%
    Draw 25.34%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawChippenham Town
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-0 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.13%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.11%

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