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National League South | Gameweek 11
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 2
Hemel Hempstead

Parkinson (17')
Beere (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lacey (22'), Rowe (81')
Pennell (45+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHemel Hempstead Town
36.99%24.7%38.31%
Both teams to score 58.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74%44.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.36%66.63%
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36%23.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27%57.73%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06%22.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28%56.72%
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 36.99%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 38.31%
    Draw 24.7%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHemel Hempstead Town
2-1 @ 8.31%
1-0 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 36.99%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-1 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 5.88%
1-3 @ 4.16%
2-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 38.31%


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