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National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
TU

Tonbridge Angels
4 - 1
Torquay Utd

Hinds (22'), Odokonyero (71', 76'), Shields (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ash (79')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-3 Taunton Town
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawTorquay United
36.08% (-0.287 -0.29) 24.67% (0.038 0.04) 39.24% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 58.88% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)44.17% (0.206 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.206 -0.21)66.55% (0.2 0.2)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (-0.254 -0.25)24.08% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63% (-0.361 -0.36)58.37% (0.354 0.35)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (0.028999999999996 0.03)22.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)55.96% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 36.08%
    Torquay United 39.24%
    Draw 24.66%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawTorquay United
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 36.08%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.03% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.01% (0.035 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Slough
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-3 Taunton Town
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 4-1 Dartford
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Aveley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South


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