Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Torquay United |
36.08% ( -0.29) | 24.67% ( 0.04) | 39.24% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 58.88% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.82% ( -0.21) | 44.17% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.44% ( -0.21) | 66.55% ( 0.2) |
Tonbridge Angels Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.91% ( -0.25) | 24.08% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.63% ( -0.36) | 58.37% ( 0.35) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.56% ( 0.03) | 22.43% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.04% ( 0.05) | 55.96% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Torquay United |
2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 36.08% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.24% |
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