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National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Mill Field

Aveley
2 - 1
Tonbridge Angels

Coleman De-Graft (36'), Ogunrinde (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Odokonyero (47' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 0-2 Weymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawTonbridge Angels
42.1% (0.064 0.06) 25.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 32.64% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47% (0.065000000000005 0.07)47.53% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (0.059999999999999 0.06)69.73% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (0.058000000000007 0.06)22.49% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (0.087000000000003 0.09)56.05% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.7% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.26% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 42.1%
    Tonbridge Angels 32.64%
    Draw 25.25%
AveleyDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.1%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 32.64%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Aveley 0-2 Weymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 0-0 Yeovil
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Aveley
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Aveley
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Aveley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Maidstone
Monday, February 19 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Slough
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-4 Yeovil
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League South


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