SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Chippenham Town |
40.76% ( 0.03) | 25.79% ( -0.02) | 33.45% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( 0.09) | 49.67% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.32% ( 0.08) | 71.68% ( -0.08) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( 0.06) | 24.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( 0.08) | 58.39% ( -0.08) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( 0.04) | 28.24% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% ( 0.05) | 63.94% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.45% |
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