Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
