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National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
TU

Dover Athletic
2 - 2
Torquay Utd

Sutherland (42'), Charles-Cook (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McLean (4' og.), Hall (19')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-2 Weymouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawTorquay United
24.08% (-1.221 -1.22) 23.69% (-0.588 -0.59) 52.23% (1.81 1.81)
Both teams to score 55% (0.62 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95% (1.431 1.43)46.05% (-1.43 -1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (1.338 1.34)68.35% (-1.337 -1.34)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (-0.255 -0.25)33.23% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16% (-0.281 -0.28)69.84% (0.28399999999999 0.28)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (1.239 1.24)17.62% (-1.237 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.79% (2.108 2.11)48.21% (-2.106 -2.11)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 24.08%
    Torquay United 52.22%
    Draw 23.69%
Dover AthleticDrawTorquay United
1-0 @ 6.45% (-0.448 -0.45)
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 24.08%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.363 -0.36)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.122 0.12)
0-2 @ 8.83% (0.172 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.63% (0.287 0.29)
0-3 @ 5.11% (0.295 0.3)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.138 0.14)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.215 0.22)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.21 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-2 Weymouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-5 Oxford City
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 2-1 Dover Athletic
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Welling United
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 5-1 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-2 York City
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-3 Torquay Utd
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League


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