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National League South | Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
2 - 3
Dorking

Greenwood (18'), Brooks (58')
Meite (40')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Prior (21'), Camp (38'), Murphy (74')
Milsom (45'), Foulkes (89')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, January 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Weymouth win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawDorking Wanderers
20.37% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.24%58.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.61% (0.009999999999998 0.01)39.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)69.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)13.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 20.37%
    Dorking Wanderers 58.39%
    Draw 21.24%
WeymouthDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 5.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 4.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 20.37%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 6.67%
0-3 @ 6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 3.03%
2-4 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.36%
0-5 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 58.39%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, January 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 0-0 Weymouth
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-2 Torquay Utd
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-0 Weymouth
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-0 Weymouth
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 1-2 Worthing
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chesham 0-5 Dorking
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-2 Dorking
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 0-0 Truro City
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-7 Dorking
Monday, November 25 at 7.45pm in National League South


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