SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dorking Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
24.89% ( -0.34) | 21.94% ( 0.02) | 53.16% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 62.02% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.81% ( -0.41) | 37.19% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.6% ( -0.44) | 59.4% ( 0.44) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( -0.47) | 27.78% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( -0.61) | 63.36% ( 0.61) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.88% ( -0.04) | 14.12% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.24% ( -0.07) | 41.76% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.66% Total : 24.89% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 53.17% |
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