SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 63.92%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 18.09% and a draw had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.6%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (4.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
18.09% ( -1) | 17.99% ( -0.46) | 63.92% ( 1.46) |
| Both teams to score 66.38% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.86% ( 0.55) | 27.14% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.33% ( 0.69) | 47.67% ( -0.68) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( -0.59) | 27.69% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% ( -0.77) | 63.24% ( 0.77) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.79% ( 0.47) | 8.21% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.28% ( 1.15) | 28.72% ( -1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.1% Total : 18.09% | 1-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.48% Total : 17.99% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.6% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.19)0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 4.88% 1-4 @ 4.75% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 3.7% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 2.38% ( 0.14)0-5 @ 1.85% ( 0.14)2-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.07)3-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 0.99% ( 0.08)Other @ 4.07% Total : 63.92% |
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