Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
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