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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
46.55% ( -0.1) | 25.49% ( 0.03) | 27.96% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( -0.08) | 50.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.47% ( -0.07) | 72.52% ( 0.07) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( -0.08) | 21.74% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.08% ( -0.12) | 54.92% ( 0.12) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( 0.01) | 32.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.95% ( 0.01) | 69.05% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 46.54% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.97% |
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