SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Torquay United |
39.32% ( 0) | 26.35% ( -0) | 34.32% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.12% ( 0.01) | 51.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.36% ( 0.01) | 73.63% ( -0.01) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( 0.01) | 25.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% ( 0.01) | 60.83% ( -0.02) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 0) | 28.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( 0.01) | 64.61% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Torquay United |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.32% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.32% |
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