Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
