Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
