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National League | Gameweek 53
May 15, 2021 at 3pm UK
Recreation Ground
HU

Aldershot
1 - 3
Hartlepool

Bettamer (87' pen.)
Kandi (56'), Kinsella (57'), Tanner (76'), Sendles-White (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (59'), Oates (77'), Featherstone (90' pen.)
Holohan (90')
Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Hartlepool United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawHartlepool United
32.49%26.57%40.94%
Both teams to score 51.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.87%53.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3%74.7%
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42%30.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19%66.81%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44%25.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57%60.43%
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 32.49%
    Hartlepool United 40.94%
    Draw 26.57%
Aldershot TownDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 9.26%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.49%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.82%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 8.62%
0-2 @ 7.27%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.94%

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