Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Halifax Town in this match.
