Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
