Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
