Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.