MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 20:32:56
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Thursday, March 28
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National League | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
GT

Altrincham
2 - 3
Grimsby Town

Mooney (65'), Moult (75')
Mullarkey (22'), Pringle (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bapaga (27'), Taylor (48'), Clifton (55')
Bapaga (43'), McKeown (74')
Bapaga (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawGrimsby Town
22.4%23.64%53.95%
Both teams to score 53.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46%47.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.25%69.74%
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44%35.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67%72.32%
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46%17.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.94%48.05%
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 22.4%
    Grimsby Town 53.95%
    Draw 23.64%
AltrinchamDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 6.45%
2-1 @ 5.8%
2-0 @ 3.33%
3-1 @ 2%
3-2 @ 1.74%
3-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 22.4%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 10.85%
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-2 @ 9.45%
1-3 @ 5.67%
0-3 @ 5.48%
2-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.39%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 53.95%

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