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National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
 
SU

Altrincham
1 - 2
Southend

Mooney (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Murphy (1'), Dalby (34')
Demetriou (45'), Phillips (80'), Lopata (85')
Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Southend United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawSouthend United
34.3%25.72%39.98%
Both teams to score 54.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81%49.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75%71.25%
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52%27.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03%62.96%
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71%24.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34%58.65%
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 34.3%
    Southend United 39.98%
    Draw 25.71%
AltrinchamDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 8.62%
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.3%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.67%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.44%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 6.68%
1-3 @ 4.07%
0-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 39.98%

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