Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
