Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
