SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Hartlepool United |
30.68% ( -0.13) | 25.54% ( 0.4) | 43.77% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.51% ( -1.74) | 49.49% ( 1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.47% ( -1.59) | 71.53% ( 1.59) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( -0.96) | 29.97% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( -1.18) | 66.08% ( 1.18) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( -0.86) | 22.54% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( -1.31) | 56.13% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.68% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.77% |
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