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League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
HU

Salford City
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Smith (14'), Barry (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Umerah (40'), Hamilton (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Salford City and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawHartlepool United
58.59% (0.178 0.18) 22.2% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 19.22% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.99% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (0.15 0.15)45.39% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (0.14400000000001 0.14)67.72% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84% (0.111 0.11)15.17% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.23% (0.206 0.21)43.77% (-0.2 -0.2)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)37.54% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)74.32% (0.029999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 58.57%
    Hartlepool United 19.22%
    Draw 22.2%
Salford CityDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 3% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 58.57%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.2%
0-1 @ 5.58% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 19.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-3 Salford City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Leyton Orient
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Salford City
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Salford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Stevenage
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-4 Hartlepool
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League Two


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