Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Barnet win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
