Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Barnet win it was 2-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
