Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
