SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Oldham Athletic | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Yeovil Town | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Aldershot Town | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 23 | Altrincham | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 24 | Scunthorpe United | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Altrincham |
53.39% ( 1.46) | 22.88% ( -0.07) | 23.72% ( -1.39) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( -1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.21% ( -1.04) | 42.79% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% ( -1.05) | 65.19% ( 1.04) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( 0.13) | 16.01% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.66% ( 0.25) | 45.34% ( -0.25) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( -1.71) | 31.76% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.81% ( -2) | 68.18% ( 1.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.46)2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.39% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.65% Total : 23.72% |
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