SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 7 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 7 | 12 | 16 |
| 3 | Notts County | 7 | 12 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Oldham Athletic | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Torquay United | 7 | -3 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
57.06% ( 0.02) | 22.33% ( -0.01) | 20.61% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.98% ( 0.01) | 44.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.6% ( 0.01) | 66.4% ( -0.01) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( 0.01) | 15.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.16% ( 0.01) | 43.84% ( -0.01) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.7% ( -0.01) | 35.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.94% ( -0.01) | 72.06% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.05% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.61% |
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