SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Altrincham | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Torquay United | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Solihull Moors | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Wrexham | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Chesterfield |
24.18% ( 0.33) | 24.5% ( 0.15) | 51.31% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( -0.34) | 49.38% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% ( -0.3) | 71.42% ( 0.3) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( 0.11) | 34.96% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.29% ( 0.12) | 71.7% ( -0.12) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% ( -0.32) | 19.24% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.05% ( -0.54) | 50.94% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.18% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 51.31% |
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