Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
0.33) 
-0.49) 
