SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
32.04% ( -0.28) | 25.08% ( 0.18) | 42.87% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( -0.9) | 46.98% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% ( -0.84) | 69.23% ( 0.84) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( -0.62) | 27.82% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% ( -0.8) | 63.41% ( 0.8) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( -0.33) | 21.89% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.85% ( -0.51) | 55.15% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.04% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 42.87% |
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