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National League | Gameweek 10
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead
3 - 0
Kidderminster

Dinanga (6'), Olley (21'), Booty (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Maguire (45+4'), Maguire (46')
Coverage of the National League clash between Gateshead and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Gateshead
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Solihull
Saturday, September 16 at 5.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
GatesheadDrawKidderminster Harriers
48.65% (0.058 0.06) 24.04% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 27.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 57% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13% (0.252 0.25)44.86% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (0.241 0.24)67.22% (-0.245 -0.25)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.121 0.12)18.54% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (0.204 0.2)49.79% (-0.207 -0.21)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (0.127 0.13)30.02% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (0.154 0.15)66.14% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Gateshead 48.65%
    Kidderminster Harriers 27.31%
    Draw 24.03%
GatesheadDrawKidderminster Harriers
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 48.65%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 27.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Gateshead
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 0-6 Gateshead
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 2-2 Oldham
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 0-0 Gateshead
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-3 Woking
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 4-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Solihull
Saturday, September 16 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 Rochdale
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-0 Maidenhead
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-0 Bromley
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League


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