Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
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