Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Barnet |
43.09% ( -0.04) | 25.61% ( 0) | 31.29% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.3% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.45% ( 0.01) | 49.54% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.42% ( 0) | 71.57% ( -0.01) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.11% ( -0.02) | 22.89% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.36% ( -0.03) | 56.64% ( 0.02) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% ( 0.03) | 29.58% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% ( 0.04) | 65.61% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Barnet |
1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.29% |
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