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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | York City |
32.85% ( -0.01) | 24.71% ( 0) | 42.44% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% ( -0.03) | 45.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% ( -0.03) | 67.4% ( 0.03) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( -0.02) | 26.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% ( -0.03) | 61.52% ( 0.03) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( -0.01) | 21.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.79% ( -0.01) | 54.21% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.85% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.44% |
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