SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Torquay United |
39.14% ( -0.83) | 23.06% ( 0.05) | 37.79% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 65.11% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.17) | 36.15% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.73% ( -0.19) | 58.27% ( 0.19) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.44) | 19% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.45% ( -0.73) | 50.55% ( 0.73) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( 0.3) | 19.62% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.43% ( 0.48) | 51.57% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Torquay United |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.52% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.31% Total : 37.79% |
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