SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
48.91% ( -0) | 23.47% ( 0.01) | 27.61% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.94% ( -0.03) | 42.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.53% ( -0.03) | 64.46% ( 0.03) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% ( -0.01) | 17.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.23% ( -0.02) | 47.77% ( 0.02) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( -0.02) | 28.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.92% ( -0.02) | 64.07% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 27.61% |
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