Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
45.95% ( -0.26) | 24.09% ( 0.1) | 29.96% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 58.75% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.58% ( -0.35) | 43.42% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.19% ( -0.35) | 65.81% ( 0.35) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.93% ( -0.25) | 19.07% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.33% ( -0.41) | 50.66% ( 0.41) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% ( -0.07) | 27.41% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.11% ( -0.09) | 62.89% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 45.95% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.96% |
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