Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 15.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
