Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wrexham in this match.