SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 59.52% | 23.81% | 16.67% |
| Both teams to score 43.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.53% | 55.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.34% | 76.66% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% | 18.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.43% | 49.57% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.89% | 82.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 14.48% 2-0 @ 12.25% 2-1 @ 9.39% 3-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 5.29% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.03% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.99% Total : 59.5% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.56% 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 1.08% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.36% Total : 16.67% |
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