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National League | Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
The EBB Stadium.
E

Aldershot
2 - 1
Eastleigh

Barham (70'), Jones (79')
Ghandour (42'), Widdrington (59'), Mullins (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Francillette (49')
Quigley (18'), Maguire (41'), Shade (68'), Fernandez (70'), McCallum (83')
Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawEastleigh
55.93% (-0.352 -0.35) 22.86% (0.044 0.04) 21.2% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 54% (0.316 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (0.196 0.2)45.6% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (0.19 0.19)67.92% (-0.19 -0.19)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)16.13% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.44% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)45.56% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (0.416 0.42)35.62% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (0.427 0.43)72.39% (-0.429 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 55.93%
    Eastleigh 21.2%
    Draw 22.86%
Aldershot TownDrawEastleigh
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.82% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 55.93%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 21.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fylde 5-2 Aldershot
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Yeovil 1-1 Aldershot
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 0-1 Barnet
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 0-0 York City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boston 1-1 Aldershot
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 0-1 Southend
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Forest Green
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 0-0 Eastleigh
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 2-2 Woking
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 4-2 Rochdale
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 3-1 Eastleigh
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League


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