Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
