Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.