Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eastleigh in this match.
