Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
