Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match.