SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Eastleigh |
47.83% ( -0.06) | 25.88% ( -0) | 26.28% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( 0.07) | 53.25% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( 0.05) | 74.81% ( -0.06) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% | 22.27% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.28% | 55.71% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.73% ( 0.09) | 35.26% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.98% ( 0.1) | 72.02% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.28% |
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